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Bitcoin on Pace for Longest Losing Streak Since 2018 Bear Market

cryptonews100_tggfrn by cryptonews100_tggfrn
February 17, 2026
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Bitcoin on Pace for Longest Losing Streak Since 2018 Bear Market
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The crypto market is bleeding. And the injuries maintain deepening.

Bitcoin trades at $67,621 immediately, down 1.70% within the final 24 hours. However this is not simply one other unhealthy day—it might probably assist mark one of the vital extended bear runs in Bitcoin historical past.

If February closes crimson, Bitcoin will full 5 consecutive months of losses, the longest streak since June 2018 when Bitcoin was down for six months. With February already down 13.98%, the indicators aren’t promising.

The amassed losses from October 2025’s all-time excessive now attain 52.4% over 123 days. For perspective, the earlier longest shedding streak—that 2018 nightmare—registered a 56.26% drop over 153 days. Bitcoin is simply 3.82 proportion factors away from matching that report in much less time.

The full cryptocurrency market capitalization stands at $2.33 trillion, down 1.33% within the final 24 hours. The Concern & Greed Index rose marginally from 8 to 12 factors, however nonetheless in “excessive worry.”

The macro backdrop seems to be equally fragile. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have slipped amid tech-sector jitters after Microsoft shed roughly 10% regardless of sturdy earnings, spooking buyers. In the meantime, treasured metals have turned risky: on Jan. 30, silver futures plunged about 31%—their steepest one-day drop since 1980—whereas gold additionally pulled again from latest highs.

Pressured liquidations—when derivatives merchants’ positions are routinely closed at sure costs—proceed battering the market. Since January 12, there has not been a single day wherein bear liquidations beat bullish positions, in line with Coinglass knowledge.

Source: Coinglass
Supply: Coinglass

Talking of bearish sentiment. On Myriad, a prediction market developed by Decrypt’s dad or mum firm Dastan, odds shifted once more from bullish to bearish on bets wagering on Bitcoin’s near-term future. At the moment, prediction market merchants are favoring a situation the place BTC touches $55K earlier than $84K with 60% odds. That sentiment shift in prediction markets—the place contributors put cash behind their opinions—is difficult to disregard.

Bitcoin’s charts paint an equally grim image on the every day timeframe. Bitcoin is at present buying and selling sideways after the massive spike on February 6. Nevertheless, the worth has not been in a position to resume an upwards development and stays under the common worth of the final 200 days, which merchants establish because the EMA200. This exhibits how weak bulls at present are.

Bitcoin (BTC) price data. Image: Tradingview
Bitcoin (BTC) worth knowledge. Picture: Tradingview

This setup (present worth buying and selling under the EMA200 and this being decrease than the common worth of the final 50 days, or EMA50) sometimes indicators stable bearish momentum. When each EMAs, in any other case often called exponential shifting averages, sit above the present worth, they act as dynamic resistance—ranges the place sellers have a tendency to seem.

The Relative Energy Index, or RSI, sits at 34.7. RSI measures shopping for and promoting momentum on a 0-100 scale. An RSI of 34.7 locations Bitcoin in bearish territory, although it hasn’t reached excessive oversold ranges. This implies damaging momentum dominates, however there’s nonetheless room for additional declines earlier than technical circumstances recommend a bounce.

The Common Directional Index, or ADX, stands at 56.4—nicely above the 25 threshold that confirms development power. ADX measures development power with readings above 25 indicating a powerful development is in place. With ADX at 56.4 and worth falling, this confirms the bearish development has very sturdy momentum.

A Bitcoin bounce after such a pointy drop is unquestionably doable, however even when it does, it will be untimely to name it a development reversal.

For merchants to start speaking a few bullish motion, the worth of Bitcoin would want to indicate at the least one in all two unlikely situations: Both a large restoration previous the $100K mark to renew the 2024-2025 development, or a constant collection of candlesticks with larger lows respecting at the least a assist just like the one proven within the dotted inexperienced line under (extension of the earlier development).

Bitcoin (BTC) price data. Image: Tradingview
Bitcoin (BTC) worth knowledge. Picture: Tradingview

For now, Bitcoin stays trapped in one of the vital persistent downtrends in its historical past. And with simply two weeks left in February, the clock is ticking to keep away from that fifth consecutive crimson month.

The views and opinions expressed by the writer are for informational functions solely and don’t represent monetary, funding, or different recommendation.



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