Polymarket odds are set by actual merchants placing actual cash behind their beliefs. With $125.3K traded on “Bitcoin Up or (*15*) – March 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET,” the Up/(*15*) possibilities mirror the collective judgment of merchants watching Bitcoin‘s stay worth in actual time. For 15-minute markets like this one, the percentages symbolize an instantaneous crowd consensus on Bitcoin‘s worth momentum — most significant because the window approaches its shut, when merchants have probably the most present worth data out there. For the newest stats on Polymarket’s total prediction accuracy, go to the accuracy page on Polymarket.
