Wednesday, October 30, 2024

Bitcoin gets closer to ‘51% attack’ on altcoin market

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) share share within the crypto market has risen to practically 50% within the aftermath of the final week’s altcoin market rout.

On June 13, the Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D), which tracks BTC’s weight in opposition to different cryptocurrencies, reached 49.29%, barely down from its two-year highs of 49.66% seen earlier this week. 

BTC.D each day value chart. Supply: TradingView

BTC not an “unregistered safety” 

The surge in Bitcoin dominance comes after the US’ Securities and Alternate Fee’s (SEC) lawsuit in opposition to the crypto exchanges Binance and Coinbase. In its courtroom filings, the fee accused many main altcoins, together with Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL), of being “unregistered securities.”

Associated: SEC’s Gensler says BTC, ETH ‘not securities’ in a newly surfaced video

Bitcoin’s market share sometimes rises throughout excessive market stress, on condition that merchants view it because the least unstable, non-stablecoin crypto asset than most cryptocurrencies. As an example, on the top of banking crisis in March 2023, Bitcoin’s dominance versus altcoins had additionally rebounded to 50%.

Altcoins’ seven-day efficiency versus the U.S. greenback and Bitcoin. Supply: Messari

There’s additionally different cues suggesting Bitcoin’s dominance may develop additional to lastly break 50%.

As an example, DWF Labs, a crypto market maker, has reportedly despatched thousands and thousands of {dollars} price of non-Bitcoin tokens to exchanges, this probably including promoting stress for sure altcoins. 

Unbiased market analyst Stack Hodler additionally suggests that almost all crypto hedge funds would before everything abandon their altcoin publicity.

However not everyone seems to be bullish on BTC dominance. Fellow analyst Moustache, for instance, argues the altcoin market could have bottomed as soon as once more as Bitcoin might be unable to break the 50% mark.

Bitcoin dominance dangers pullback in June

Chart technicals recommend that Bitcoin’s dominance can certainly drop within the coming weeks as altcoins rebound.

Associated: ‘There’s no more exciting time than now’ for Bitcoin: BTC Prague 2023

Most notably, BTC.D has failed to shut decisively above the 50%-mark since April 2021, usually reversing its features due to an overbought weekly relative power index (RSI).

BTC.D weekly efficiency chart. Supply: TradingView

Bitcoin now faces the same situation with a retest of the 50% degree for the primary time since final summer season. In the meantime, its RSI hangs simply two factors under its overbought degree of 70.

Due to this fact, if historical past repeats, Bitcoin’s dominance will decline towards 39% by late 2023 or early 2024.

However, a breakout right here might be key for BTC — to attain ranges not seen in over two years. For instance, analyst Crypto Rover sees a traditional bullish continuation setup with 52% being the subsequent main hurdle if such a situation pans out. 

This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.