Monday, September 23, 2024

Bitcoin price faces 200-week trendline as US dollar hits 6-month high

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Bitcoin (BTC) hugged a key long-term trendline on Sep. 7 as U.S. dollar energy hit its highest in six months.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Supply: TradingView

Bitcoin vs. 200-week transferring common varieties “million dollar query”

Information from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed BTC price strikes specializing in the realm round $25,700.

Situations had been much less unstable than the day prior, which noticed a visit to $26,000 and native lows beneath $25,400 inside a single hourly candle.

Bitcoin market members remained cautious total, with predictions of contemporary draw back to come back changing into an increasing number of commonplace.

“$BTC – except we reclaim could low I nonetheless suppose decrease,” common dealer TraderSZ advised X subscribers on the day.

“Taken a brief right here half dimension focusing on 23.6k. If we reclaim Might low I’ll look to scale out.”

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: TraderSZ/X

Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of buying and selling agency Eight, flagged the 200-week exponential transferring common (EMA) at $25,670 as the important thing stage to observe on weekly timeframes.

“The million dollar query is whether or not Bitcoin holds above the 200-Week EMA,” he summarized.

BTC/USD 1-week chart with 200EMA. Supply: TradingView

Fellow dealer and analyst Toni Ghinea was extra categorical, eyeing $25,000 and decrease subsequent for Bitcoin, with altcoins additionally as a result of undergo.

“I stated 25k will occur. I stated that ALTS will make new lows. I am now saying $BTC will nuke to 19-23k,” he wrote in an X put up.

“This transfer down is way from over. Ignore the ETF narrative. It is solely used to govern the market. Quickly it is going to be time to purchase.”

Ghinea referenced the continued battle to launch the US’ first Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund, or ETF — a key low-timeframe volatility source in latest weeks.

Dollar stokes crypto, threat asset considerations

Trying past crypto markets, the U.S. dollar offered a compelling case for suppression throughout threat belongings.

Associated: Bitcoin price can hit $46K by 2024 halving — Interview with Filbfilb

The U.S. dollar index (DXY), having broken through local highs seen in late Might, hit 105.15 on the day — its highest since March 10.

U.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-day chart. Supply: TradingView

“This rally by the dollar will proceed to be a drain on threat belongings, particularly these the furthest up the chance curve (i.e. crypto),” analyst Benjamin Cowen wrote in a part of X evaluation.

TraderSZ continued the theme, forecasting draw back for U.S. equities by the hands of DXY energy.

“Price motion for the U.S. Dollar Index DXY is extraordinarily bullish (and due to this fact bearish for monetary belongings),” Caleb Franzen, senior analyst at Cubic Analytics, added.

“When it broke above the 200-day transferring common cloud & the trendline from 2022 highs, I stated it was vital to hear. Now we have flipped them into help.”

An accompanying chart confirmed the DXY 200-day easy and exponential transferring averages.

U.S. dollar index (DXY) chart with transferring averages. Supply: Caleb Franzen/X

This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.