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Solana Down -40% Since Its Last ATH, What Levels To Watch? Technical Analysis From February 12, 2024

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February 12, 2025
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Solana Down -40% Since Its Last ATH, What Levels To Watch? Technical Analysis From February 12, 2024
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After reaching its highest historic stage, Solana is dealing with downward stress threatening its value. Uncover Elyfe’s evaluation to decrypt the technical views of SOL.

Solana logo with blue or red background.

State of affairs of Solana (SOL)

After breaking the resistance at $210, Solana continued its rise in the direction of its newest ATH recognized at $267. Upon reaching this stage, the value of SOL skilled a decline, bringing it again to round $170, thus recording a correction of greater than 36%.

Luckily, this value stage, supported by the 200-day shifting common and the primary pivot help, triggered shopping for curiosity that was maintained. This subsequently allowed it to surpass its earlier peak and document a brand new historic excessive at $295.

Sadly, the rise of SOL was not sustained, partly because of the total decline within the crypto market. It has just lately discovered its help round $170.

On the time of writing, the price of Solana is buying and selling round $196. It’s above a major worth space, in addition to above its 200-day shifting common.

Nevertheless, Solana is now beneath its annual VWAP, which coincides with its month-to-month pivot level at $232. Though the short-term pattern stays bearish, the medium and long-term dynamics stay bullish.

This bullish construction is confirmed by the positioning of the 50 and 200-day shifting averages, which stay crossed and oriented upwards, signaling a upkeep of the underlying pattern regardless of the present consolidation.

On the bullish dynamic aspect of SOL, it’s not shocking that it has been revised downwards, which is mirrored in each its value and its oscillators.

SOL/USD Daily Price Chart
SOL/USD Every day Value Chart

The present technical evaluation was completed in collaboration with Elyfe, investor and popularizer within the cryptocurrency market.

Deal with Solana Derivatives (SOLUSDT)

Whereas the open curiosity in SOL/USDT perpetual contracts appears poised to stabilize, it has been revised downwards, following the pattern of its underlying value. This displays reducing curiosity as the value of Solana declines.

On the CVD aspect, it’s also declining, indicating a predominance of market promote orders, thus contributing to elevated promoting stress.

The funding fee has gone into detrimental territory, reflecting bearish convictions.

Lastly, for the reason that peak of the lengthy place liquidations on February 3, liquidations have remained restricted on either side of the market after the final correction of Bitcoin, with no vital motion for consumers or sellers. This example signifies a steady market, managed volatility, and cautious threat administration, reflecting a sure steadiness.

Open Interest / CVD / Liquidations & Funding rate SOL/USDT
Open Curiosity / CVD / Liquidations & Funding fee SOL/USDT

The heatmap of SOL/USDT contract liquidations reveals that the liquidation zone positioned beneath $300 has triggered promote orders because of the value decline. Though this zone stays seen, probably the most vital liquidation zone is beneath the present value of Solana, round $160.

The method of value in the direction of these ranges may lead to an enormous set off of orders, thereby rising the chance of heightened volatility for the crypto. These zones thus characterize a vital focal point for buyers.

Thermal Map of Liquidations on SOL/USDT
Thermal Map of Liquidations on SOL/USDT

Forecast for Solana Value (SOL)

  • If the value of Solana stays above $170, we might anticipate a return in the direction of $220 – $240. The following resistance to observe, if the bullish motion continues, could be round $270, or perhaps a return in the direction of the final ATH at $295. At this stage, that may characterize a rise of over 50%.
  • Conversely, if the value of Solana fails to carry above $170, a pullback to $155 is conceivable. The following help to think about, in case of a seamless bearish motion, could possibly be between $140 and $130, and even round a medium and long-term help stage near $110. This might then characterize a lower of about 43%.

Conclusion

Solana reveals notable resilience regardless of a correction section, supported by key ranges which have favored a rebound. Though the short-term pattern stays unsure, the underlying dynamics stay constructive, indicating potential restoration within the medium and long run. On this context, it will likely be important to carefully monitor the value response at strategic ranges to verify or modify the present forecasts. Lastly, allow us to do not forget that these analyses are based mostly solely on technical standards, and the value of cryptocurrencies can evolve quickly on account of different extra basic elements.

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Elyfe avatar

Elyfe

Spécialiste en analyse approach, Elyfe décrypte les tendances graphiques des marchés des cryptomonnaies avec une approche rigoureuse et en constante évolution. À travers ses analyses détaillées, il apporte un regard éclairé sur la dynamique des prix, aidant les investisseurs et passionnés à mieux comprendre et anticiper les mouvements du marché.

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The contents and merchandise talked about on this web page are under no circumstances accepted by Cointribune and shouldn’t be interpreted as falling underneath its duty.

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