Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Bitcoin Weekly Close Could Decide the Fate of Its Bull Market

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Key factors:

  • Bitcoin faces an necessary weekly shut with a number of key value ranges on the line.

  • The bull market’s future remains to be at stake, a dealer says, amid ongoing whale promoting.

  • Danger property ought to achieve from a discount in US commerce tariffs or the finish of the authorities shutdown.

Bitcoin (BTC) wedged itself in a slim vary forward of a key weekly shut with $100,000 assist at stake.

BTC value counts all the way down to main weekly shut

Knowledge from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed BTC value inertia characterizing weekend buying and selling.

Volatility was missing, however market contributors have been eager to see how the weekly candle would shut.

Supply: Caleb Franzen

“Key degree of the week: $103.5K,” dealer Titan of Crypto wrote in a post on X.

Titan of Crypto based mostly the significance of that value level on Fibonacci retracement ranges, with the bull market probably at stake.

“A weekly shut beneath isn’t dramatic, however a confirmed breakdown subsequent week would sign the bull market is probably going over. Not there but,” he added.

BTC/USD one-week chart. Supply: Titan of Crypto/X

Others eyed a detailed above the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA), at present at $100,940, as an indication of power.

“We don’t need a weekly shut beneath this at any value,” dealer Max Crypto warned.

BTC/USD one-week chart with 50EMA. Supply: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The chance of a “loss of life cross” involving easy shifting averages (SMAs) on the each day chart, in the meantime, was of curiosity to dealer SuperBro.

Such a state of affairs happens when the 50-period SMA crosses beneath the 200-period equal.

“The 4th ‘loss of life cross’ of the bull cycle is approaching. Every time we’ve seen reversion to the imply and a sustained backside,” he told X followers on the day. 

“However to date, a lukewarm response at the 365 SMA. Let’s have a look at if bulls can get it collectively and reclaim the Q3 low for the weekly shut.”

BTC/USD one-day chart. Supply: SuperBro/X

Bitcoin analyst sees “enlargement” if US gov’t shutdown ends

Past chart alerts, crypto markets hoped for constructive information on the US authorities shutdown.

Associated: Bitcoin’s ‘speed bump’ to $56K? Ripple rejects IPO plans: Hodler’s Digest, Nov. 2 – 8

Anticipation that lawmakers would take steps to finish the deadlock was growing, as its results turned extra problematic for the US financial system. 

Moreover, expectations have been that the US Supreme Courtroom hanging down worldwide commerce tariffs — a choice due quickly — would provide an instant boost to shares.

“If the US authorities shutdown ends, we might see an enlargement quickly,” Cas Abbe, a contributor to onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, summarized.

Abbe uploaded a chart to X, which prompt that the finish of the shutdown might additionally mark the finish of a “manipulation” part for BTC value motion.

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Supply: Case Abbe/X

Crypto investor and entrepreneur Ted Pillows was cautious, predicting that BTC value might endure if market expectations weren’t happy quickly sufficient.

“BTC remains to be consolidating round the $102,000 degree. The markets have been anticipating the finish of the authorities shutdown this weekend, however it didn’t occur,” he stated

“I nonetheless assume Bitcoin might go a bit decrease, provided that institutional demand has gone and OG whales are promoting.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Supply: Ted Pillows/X

Bitcoin whales, Cointelegraph reported, have produced sustained promoting stress throughout 2025.

This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.