Trump Tariffs Will Clear The Supreme Court Hurdle? Crypto Bettors Say: No

Cryptocurrency prediction market sees low odds that the Supreme Court will rule in favor of President Donald Trump’s tariffs, with a call anticipated on Wednesday.

What Are The Odds Of A Trump Victory?

Polymarket odds that the Supreme Court overturns or vacates the sooner court docket determination that deemed Trump’s tariff coverage “unconstitutional” have been 28%, up from 22% every week in the past however nonetheless a lot decrease than the all-time highs set in September 2025.

Over $2.6 million has been tossed on the result, making it one of the vital traded bets on the Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based platform as of this writing.

In the meantime, bettors on Kalshi see a 32% probability that the apex court docket guidelines in favor of Trump.

The Supreme Court has scheduled an “Opinion Day” for Friday, and Kalshi bettors are giving 53% odds that it’ll launch an opinion earlier than Jan. 16.

The Excessive Stakes Of Tariff Choices

Commerce tariffs have been among the many most intently watched market developments over the previous yr and a pending determination might influence the place the market heads early in 2026.

Trump mentioned earlier this week that the U.S. could face massive economic consequences if the Supreme Court guidelines towards the federal authorities on the problem.

Apparently, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent mentioned final week that the Treasury has sufficient funds to cowl any potential tariff refunds if the Supreme Court guidelines towards the federal government.

Since assuming workplace in January 2025, Trump has used the Worldwide Emergency Financial Powers Act to justify imposing tariffs on countries to deal with commerce imbalances.

Nonetheless, a U.S. appeals court docket mentioned final yr that Trump overstepped his authority through the use of the emergency powers to impose sweeping tariffs.

Economist Mark Zandi mentioned that the labor market is faltering under the weight of tariffs and {that a} Supreme Court ruling might supply the quickest path to restoring job development.

Photograph Courtesy: Barry Barnes on Shutterstock.com