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Veteran analyst warns of shocking Bitcoin crash to $10K

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February 17, 2026
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Veteran analyst warns of shocking Bitcoin crash to $10K
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Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s first decentralized cryptocurrency, was launched in 2009 within the wake of the worldwide monetary disaster in 2008. The objective was to give monetary autonomy to the folks and liberate them from the clutches of Wall Avenue.

However the way in which Bitcoin has more and more grow to be built-in into the mainstream monetary system, macroeconomic forces now have a tendency to have an effect on King Crypto’s value trajectory.

That’s precisely what occurred when U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff risk in opposition to China led to a massive liquidation within the crypto market on Oct. 10 final yr.

Bitcoin had hit its all-time excessive (ATH) of $126,080 only some days earlier on Oct. 6 and it’s at the moment buying and selling 45% decrease.

Related: Bitget CEO who predicted $200K Bitcoin says it’s a ‘good time to buy’

Earlier this month, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan listed six main components behind the crash within the crypto market.

First, long-term crypto buyers have been promoting to front-run the four-year cycle. The final thesis is that crypto has traditionally adopted four-year cycles, with down years being 2014, 2018, and 2022 beforehand. So, merchants assume 2026 can also be going to be a down yr and are subsequently exiting markets after making good points.

Second, although crypto remained the “most enjoyable, dynamic, and risky phase” of the market, buyers have now flocked to different thrilling segments like synthetic intelligence (AI) and treasured metals.

Three, the crypto market took the blow of Trump’s tariff risk alone, as Oct. 10 was adopted by a weekend when Wall Avenue was closed for buying and selling.

4, Trump has nominated Kevin Warsh to be the subsequent Federal Reserve chairman, who’s seen to maintain very hawkish views.

5, there’s a important part of the Bitcoin group that fears the risk of quantum computing is close to and never sufficient is being completed to tackle the danger.

Six, Bitcoin has suffered from the broader market’s risk-off shift.

On Feb. 16, Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone warned that Bitcoin may even drop to $10,000.

Whereas different analysts might speak of a “wholesome correction” quickly, an additional decline is right here, he mentioned. However the buy-the-dip mantra since 2008 could also be over, he added.

The U.S. inventory market is rallying with low volatility, however the digital belongings market has misplaced religion in Trump. He warned that the crypto bubble is imploding.

However treasured steel merchants are making enormous earnings, he underlined the distinction.

McGlone shared a value chart evaluating Bitcoin divided by 10 for scaling with the S&P 500.

The inventory market benchmark closed at 6,836.17 factors on Feb. 13, and since Bitcoin would not sleep even on Presidents’ Day, it was buying and selling at $67,952.02 at press time. Each belongings are hovering beneath $7,000 within the chart McGlone shared.

He thinks the preliminary regular reversion for the S&P 500 is towards 5,600, so it ought to be $56,000 for Bitcoin. In a base case, he thinks Bitcoin may revert towards $10,000, given the equities market hits a peak.

Customary Chartered’s head of digital belongings analysis, Geoff Kendrick, can also be bearish however not as a lot as McGlone. He believes Bitcoin may slide towards $50,000 within the coming months.

JPMorgan analysts led by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, nevertheless, stay bullish and predicted earlier this month that BTC may ultimately hit $266,000.

Disclaimer: This text is for informational functions solely and doesn’t represent monetary recommendation. Cryptocurrency investments are extremely risky and dangerous. All the time conduct your individual analysis earlier than making any funding selections.

Related: JPMorgan turns bullish on crypto in 2026 despite crash

This story was initially printed by TheStreet on Feb 16, 2026, the place it first appeared within the MARKETS part. Add TheStreet as a Preferred Source by clicking here.



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