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Hodler’s Digest June 14-28 — TradingView News

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June 29, 2026
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About 60% of World Cup bettors on Polymarket are first-time crypto customers

About 60% of customers who positioned their first World Cup bets on Polymarket had by no means interacted with blockchain protocols earlier than, suggesting prediction markets have gotten an entry level into crypto. The discovering is predicated on a 90-day Bitget Pockets examine that tracked the onchain exercise of 857,000 energetic Polymarket customers.

Alvin Kan, chief working officer at Bitget Pockets, informed Cointelegraph that earlier crypto onboarding efforts largely centered on making blockchain know-how simpler to know by way of less complicated wallets and higher person interfaces, however customers have been nonetheless anticipated to learn the way crypto labored earlier than they may take part.

“Prediction markets shifted that dynamic. Customers present up as a result of they’ve a view on one thing occurring on the earth,” Kan stated.

Trump cancels signing of housing invoice with CBDC ban

US President Donald Trump canceled the signing ceremony for a housing invoice containing a ban on a central financial institution digital forex (CBDC) as he appeared for Republicans in Congress to prioritize a controversial voting invoice.

In a Wednesday morning Reality Social submit, Trump stated that the signing for the twenty first Century ROAD to Housing Act, handed by the US Senate and Home of Representatives, can be canceled “till such time as we move the desperately wanted SAVE America Act.”

The housing invoice, handed by the Home on Tuesday, included a provision barring the US Federal Reserve from issuing or making a CBDC “or any digital asset that’s considerably comparable” till the top of 2030.

Many had anticipated Trump to signal the invoice, geared toward tackling housing affordability, into legislation on Wednesday with out points. Nevertheless, the president stated in March that he would “not signal different payments” till the SAVE America Act was handed. The laws would require voters to offer proof of US citizenship in individual to register, with critics saying the measure would disenfranchise residents already eligible to vote.

Bitmine, Sharplink and Joe Lubin again Ethereum R&D nonprofit

Former Ethereum Basis contributors and Ether treasury companies Bitmine and Sharplink have backed a brand new analysis and growth nonprofit that goals to make Ethereum prepared for institutional use.

Sharplink stated on Monday that the group, Ethlabs, was shaped to “prepared Ethereum for the following section of institutional adoption,” with the corporate pitching in with Bitmine, Ethereum co-founder Joe Lubin and different Ethereum contributors on its funding effort.

“As stablecoins, tokenized real-world property, funds and autonomous AI commerce transfer on-chain, they’re converging on Ethereum because the impartial, credibly permissionless settlement layer for the worldwide economic system,” Sharplink stated. “Ethlabs exists to make sure the community is able to take up that demand at scale.”

The launch comes days after former Ethereum Basis contributor Trenton Van Epps warned that Ethereum is dealing with a core growth funding disaster and amid an ongoing wave of exits from the Basis, most lately co-executive director Hsiao-Wei Wang, who left final week.

CryptoQuant warns on Technique’s dividend protection as money reserve falls 38%

After Technique’s dividend protection fell to 14 months from seven years, CryptoQuant stated the corporate led by Michael Saylor ought to pause Bitcoin purchases and deal with replenishing its money reserve, which is down 38% year-to-date.

Technique’s dividend obligations have almost quadrupled to $1.2 billion, as the corporate issued substantial new STRC most well-liked inventory, which carries an 11.5% yield.

“They need to pause Bitcoin purchases, rebuild money reserves, and undertake a scientific framework for buy timing,” wrote the market information analytics supplier’s CEO Ki Younger Ju in a Wednesday X submit, including that the largest public Bitcoin treasury holder must also create a “disciplined promoting framework” for the following bull market.

Technique’s money reserve fell 38% after the corporate repurchased $1.5 billion of its 2029 senior notes at a reduction, Cointelegraph reported on Could 26. These coffers have since recovered to $1.4 billion after it bought $335.5 million in MSTR shares, which added $300 million to its US greenback reserve on Monday, though it’s close to a record-low of 14 months’ of funds out there to pay dividends.

Catholic leaders, US authorities problem CLARITY Act over illicit exercise

A gaggle of legislation enforcement organizations and a coalition of Catholic organizations have change into the newest two teams urging warning over the US CLARITY Act, which is heading for a key listening to in July.

In letters despatched Tuesday, 4 legislation enforcement organizations reached out to White Home officers with considerations that the CLARITY Act may create oversight gaps in relation to illicit exercise.

“Regulatory certainty shouldn’t come on the expense of accountability, transparency, sufferer safety, or public security,” they stated. The Alliance to Finish Human Trafficking, based by US Catholic Sisters, stated these oversights may make it more durable to crack down on human trafficking.

Senator Cynthia Lummis stated this week, the ultimate textual content for the invoice can be launched July 4, with the Home Monetary Service Committee scheduling a listening to into the Readability Act on July 17.

Winners and Losers

On the finish of the week, Bitcoin (BTC) is at $59,359 which represents a 6.8% decline, whereas Ether (ETH) is at $1,565, after falling 8.8% for the week. XRP (XRP) is at $1.04 and down 8% for the week. The full market cap is at $2.06 trillion in accordance with CoinMarketCap.

Among the many greatest 100 cryptocurrencies the highest three altcoin gainers are Velvet (VELVET) at 290%, DeXe (DEXE) on 55% and Audiera (BEAT) which was up 49%.

The highest three altcoin losers of the week are MemeCore (M), which misplaced 76%, WorldCoin (WLD), which misplaced 28%, and Mantle (MNT), which was down 20%.

Prediction of the week

Bitcoin could fall decrease however BTC power-law frames crash to $58K as ‘regular’

Bitcoin’s drop to $58,000 strains up with the power-law mannequin’s cycle lows, though futures market information factors to deeper lows for BTC worth.

Giovanni’s Bitcoin power-law mannequin locations the community’s long-term development worth close to $135,000, making the current drop to $58,000 roughly 54% under the all-time excessive and 1.22 commonplace deviations beneath that development.

In line with the analyst, the important thing takeaway is simple: the earlier cycle lows in 2012, 2015, 2019, 2020, and 2022 all fell inside the same statistical vary. By that measure, the newest decline falls inside a territory that has traditionally marked the deep bear-market lows reasonably than a break in Bitcoin’s long-term progress path.

Prime FUD of the week

Binance faces EU service limits as MiCA guidelines take impact

Binance has notified European Union customers that entry to key providers will probably be restricted after the trade didn’t safe Markets in Crypto-Property (MiCA) authorization from a member state earlier than a July 1 deadline.

These restrictions embody halting the onboarding of recent EU customers and limiting sure providers for EU-based accounts efficient July 1, in accordance to trade notices shared by customers on social media.

The notices stated customers will nonetheless be capable to withdraw their property after that date, stating that “all digital property are nonetheless out there for withdrawal,” in keeping with relevant regulatory necessities.

The transfer marks one of many first main transitions beneath the EU’s MiCA framework after Binance introduced it withdrew its MiCA license software in Greece on Wednesday.

Binance recorded over $400 million in web outflows throughout the week starting June 22.

Binance’s public messaging is that the corporate intends to proceed pursuing a MiCA license, regardless of being on tempo to overlook the July 1 buzzer.

Iran-linked entities moved $3.8B by way of CoinEx, TRM says

Wallets with identifiable hyperlinks to sanctioned Iranian entities have moved over $3.84 billion by way of cryptocurrency trade CoinEx since 2019, making it one of many foremost channels used to bypass US financial sanctions, in accordance with blockchain analytics firm TRM Labs.

About 60 Iranian platforms have been tied to the funds, with $2.7 billion of this flowing between CoinEx and Nobitex, Iran’s largest home cryptocurrency trade, at a median charge of about $1 million per day since 2018, wrote TRM Labs in a Wednesday report.

By 2024, CoinEx was Nobitex’s largest exterior counterpart, almost 9 occasions that of the next-largest trade, a sample that TRM Labs referred to as “inconsistent with impartial market behaviour.”

CoinEx denied having any industrial relationship with the Iranian authorities or home Iranian exchanges and disputed TRM Labs’ interpretation, saying onchain fund flows don’t reveal a platform’s data of or participation in illicit exercise.

Ethereum Basis sacks 20% of workforce amid strategic restructuring

The Ethereum Basis (EF) has laid off 54 workers, roughly 20% of its workforce, as a part of a significant organizational restructuring.

In line with a weblog submit printed Tuesday, the EF will reorganize round 5 specialised clusters masking protocol, entry, person, group and institutional work. The Basis stated the adjustments are supposed to pay attention sources on Ethereum’s long-term technical priorities, together with scaling, privateness, safety and censorship resistance.

Below the brand new construction, separate groups will oversee Ethereum’s core protocol, person entry instruments, group engagement and work with establishments, whereas administration and operations features stay organized independently.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin stated the Ethereum Basis is lowering its price range by roughly 40% because it transitions towards a long-term, endowment-based group. He stated the inspiration goals to decrease annual spending from about 15% of its remaining funds to roughly 5% after 2030, a shift he stated necessitated troublesome staffing selections.

Prime characteristic tales of the week

Does Botanix’s failure show Bitcoiners don’t care about DeFi?

The failure of Botanix means that Bitcoiners nonetheless want Ethereum DeFi to Bitcoin L2s. How can Bitcoin L2s change to win hodlers over?

Ethereum’s much-hated staking ‘tax’ could already be out of date

Ethereum’s newest “funding disaster” has triggered a fierce debate over whether or not to tax staking rewards or to pursue funding from massive ETH holders for brand spanking new organizations like EthLabs.

AI is banking the unbanked in Africa… quicker than crypto

AI is widening entry to banking for the unbanked throughout Africa. However used badly, it could merely automate monetary exclusion at better velocity.



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