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Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favorite tales in this weekly publication.
The author is a former world head of fairness capital markets at Financial institution of America and is now a managing director at Seda Specialists
Bitcoin’s spectacular surge this yr has reignited a dilemma on Wall Street: how far ought to funding banks go in supporting cryptocurrency-related capital raisings? Current choices reveal a profound shift in pondering.
Not way back, large banks stored crypto at arm’s size. The sector had a racy fame, and financial institution leaders have been vocal in their disdain. JPMorgan’s chief Jamie Dimon branded bitcoin a “fraud” and a “Ponzi scheme”. Regulatory fears deepened the coolness. Crypto offers have been left to smaller funding banks.
However occasions have modified. The Securities and Trade Fee’s approval of bitcoin trade traded funds in January 2024 marked a watershed. Furthermore, Donald Trump’s election most likely heralds a transfer to a extra crypto-tolerant SEC, in distinction to the scepticism beneath chair Gary Gensler.
As deal sizes have swelled, so too has the roster of underwriters. Barclays and Citigroup have led a number of convertible bond choices this yr for bitcoin investor MicroStrategy. Goldman Sachs raised cash for Utilized Digital, an information centre operator that caters to bitcoin miners. JPMorgan has underwritten hefty convertible bonds for bitcoin mining and infrastructure teams Core Scientific, Mara and Iren.
As banks debate whether or not to dive headlong into the area or maintain again, the central query is: are you able to lawyer these offers to the hilt, stack the prospectus with threat components and name it good? Or is it too dangerous being related to what many see as a wildly speculative sector?
The reply isn’t binary. It lies on a spectrum that displays every financial institution’s threat tolerance and strategic outlook. And it’s not clear that each one crypto-related firms must be seen equally. A longtime trade resembling Coinbase could have a special threat profile from a bitcoin miner or an funding car like MicroStrategy. Even throughout comparable firms, reputational points range.
Contemplate MicroStrategy and its co-founder Michael Saylor. With out admitting wrongdoing, each settled accounting fraud allegations from the SEC in 2000 and a tax fraud lawsuit with the District of Columbia’s attorney-general in June 2024 for substantial financial sums. Such a sample usually triggers senior administration assessment round shopper choice. Evidently, Barclays and Citigroup obtained comfy with the affiliation.
If all this sounds acquainted, it ought to. Take special-purpose acquisition firms, or Spacs. As soon as shunned as gimmicky automobiles by some bulge-bracket banks, they have been embraced by Wall Street through the 2019-2021 boom. However banks swiftly retreated by mid-2022, as reputational considerations surfaced. Crypto capital-raising has the same really feel — a risky frontier the place banks chase windfall charges and market share, whereas bracing for potential reputational blowback.
The drivers of those choices are multi-faceted. Authorized threat looms massive. Basic counsels lose sleep over questions resembling, “will we get sued if this tanks?” Media scrutiny is equally daunting; nobody desires their firm in unfavorable headlines.
However threat alone doesn’t dictate behaviour. Charges matter. And in bitcoin capital markets, they’re now substantial. Greater than $13bn of crypto-related convertibles have been issued in 2024, with most coming in the final quarter, in line with IFR information. This interprets right into a charge pool that I estimate to be a minimum of $200mm. And MicroStrategy’s $21bn fairness providing is paying charges of two per cent to the banks dealing with the gross sales. That form of potential income makes reputational reservations really feel like a luxurious.
There stays an unwritten code of respectability in banking. Sure companies — resembling grownup leisure — are shunned, even when completely authorized. Hashish firms, too, have struggled to persuade big-name banks to underwrite their choices. The reluctance isn’t rooted in ethical outrage; it’s pure optics. Bankers know that sure companies invite extra public warmth than they’re value.
But as soon as a couple of banks break ranks, the stress mounts on others to observe. It’s safer to maneuver as a pack; if something goes unsuitable, nobody financial institution will get singled out. The aggressive intuition additionally performs a job. No banker desires to clarify to their bosses why they missed their finances targets or dropped down the league tables.
In brief, participation isn’t a verdict on crypto, however fairly gives a glimpse into how funding banks weigh the three Rs of deal choice: threat, reward and fame. In a means of steady recalibration, senior leaders are balancing authorized publicity, media response, regulatory threat and aggressive pressures to find out the place the boundary of “respectable” lies. As bitcoin strikes from the perimeter to the mainstream, large banks are inching additional into the world, one deal at a time.
