Sunday, July 13, 2025

Prolonged Bitcoin Bear Markets Still a Threat

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The four-year Bitcoin (BTC) market cycle of forming new all-time highs adopted by deep corrections will not be lifeless, opposite to common perception, based on Xapo Financial institution CEO Seamus Rocca.

In an interview with Cointelegraph, the CEO mentioned that the danger of a prolonged bear market remains to be very actual and doesn’t want a “cataclysmic” occasion to set off it. Issues so simple as a normal slowdown in information, developments, or routine portfolio rebalancing may trigger the subsequent market-wide downturn. He added:

“All of us wish to assume that Bitcoin is an inflation hedge, and I consider that it is going to be that inflation hedge in the future. However I am unsure we’re there but. I nonetheless see it very a lot as a risk-on asset. No less than that correlation between Bitcoin, the S&P, and shares remains to be very a lot there.” 

“The contagion impact could possibly be so simple as there is no new information out there,” inflicting the crypto sector to “run out of steam,” in an natural, drawn-out course of, the CEO added.

Xapo, Bitcoin Price, BTC Markets
A chart displaying Bitcoin’s earlier cycles exhibits that whereas bear market cycles are shortening, they’re nonetheless a function of the Bitcoin panorama. Supply: Merlijn The Trader

Some Bitcoin traders, trade executives, and crypto market analysts say that the four-year market cycle is dead or has shifted to the purpose the place sharp, prolonged cyclical corrections are not seemingly as a result of presence of establishments and the maturation of crypto as an asset class.

Institutional shopping for received’t save markets from the historic pattern

“So many individuals are saying, ‘Oh, the establishments are right here, and, subsequently, the cyclical form of nature of Bitcoin is lifeless.’ I am unsure I agree with that,” Seamus Rocca informed Cointelegraph.

The CEO’s perspective has been echoed by others within the trade, including Bitcoin educator and analyst Matthew Kratter and creator of “The Bushido of Bitcoin,” Aleksandar Svetski.

“Human psychology won’t ever change. Cycles don’t have anything to do with Bitcoin and all the pieces to do with individuals. The identical increase and crash will occur this time,” Svetski wrote in a June 15 X post.

Others, like enterprise capital (VC) agency Breed, warn that overleveraged Bitcoin treasury corporations may spark the next bear market

Nonetheless, analysts on the VC agency additionally mentioned that the contagion could also be restricted if most of those treasury corporations proceed to finance their Bitcoin buys primarily via fairness fairly than debt.

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