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DOT Price Prediction: Oversold Bounce Targets $1.75-$2.10 by March 2026

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February 4, 2026
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DOT Price Prediction: Polkadot Eyes $4.01 Recovery Despite Current Bearish Momentum
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Zach Anderson
Feb 03, 2026 10:16

Polkadot (DOT) sits in oversold territory at $1.52 with RSI at 28.94, suggesting a possible bounce towards $1.75-$2.10 resistance ranges throughout the subsequent 4-6 weeks based mostly on technical restoration patterns.



DOT Price Prediction: Oversold Bounce Targets $1.75-$2.10 by March 2026

DOT Price Prediction Abstract

• Quick-term goal (1 week): $1.60-$1.70
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.75-$2.10 vary
• Bullish breakout degree: $1.86 (SMA 20 resistance)
• Crucial assist: $1.45 (Bollinger Band decrease boundary)

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Polkadot

Current analyst protection from blockchain analysis platforms has highlighted Polkadot’s potential for restoration from present oversold ranges. Alvin Lang just lately famous that “Polkadot (DOT) exhibits potential for 25% upside to $2.48 resistance degree by month-end,” setting a goal that aligns with technical resistance zones.

Moreover, Joerg Hiller offered a complete DOT worth prediction abstract stating: “Quick-term goal (1 week): $2.07-$2.29; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.48-$3.30 vary.” Whereas these targets seem optimistic relative to present technical circumstances, they mirror the broader bullish sentiment round Polkadot’s elementary developments.

In line with on-chain knowledge patterns, DOT’s present positioning suggests institutional accumulation could also be occurring at these lower cost ranges, although particular whale exercise metrics stay blended.

DOT Technical Evaluation Breakdown

The present DOT worth prediction is closely influenced by a number of key technical indicators portray a blended however doubtlessly bullish image for restoration.

RSI Evaluation: At 28.94, Polkadot’s RSI sits firmly in oversold territory beneath the 30 threshold. This excessive studying sometimes precedes bounce makes an attempt, particularly when mixed with different supportive technical components. Historic patterns present DOT tends to search out patrons when RSI drops beneath 30.

Shifting Common Construction: The value motion exhibits DOT buying and selling considerably beneath all main shifting averages, with the 7-day SMA at $1.63 offering speedy resistance. The 20-day SMA at $1.86 represents a crucial reclaim degree for any sustained Polkadot forecast to show bullish. The 200-day SMA at $3.05 stays far overhead, highlighting the longer-term bearish pattern that wants reversal.

MACD Momentum: The MACD histogram at 0.0000 signifies momentum has stalled, neither accelerating bearish nor displaying bullish divergence. This impartial studying suggests DOT could also be forming a base, although affirmation by way of optimistic histogram readings would strengthen the bullish case.

Bollinger Bands Place: With DOT’s %B place at 0.0869, the value sits very near the decrease Bollinger Band at $1.45. This excessive positioning typically marks reversal zones, notably when mixed with oversold RSI readings.

Polkadot Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Situation

The first DOT worth prediction upside case targets a restoration towards $1.75-$2.10 over the following month. Preliminary resistance sits at $1.60, representing the current buying and selling vary ceiling. A break above this degree may set off algorithmic shopping for towards the 7-day SMA at $1.63.

The key resistance zone spans $1.84-$1.86, coinciding with each the EMA 26 and SMA 20. Reclaiming this space would sign a real pattern reversal and open the trail towards the analyst targets of $2.48 talked about in current blockchain analysis reviews.

For essentially the most optimistic Polkadot forecast, a sustained break above $1.90 may goal the SMA 50 at $1.92, doubtlessly extending towards $2.10-$2.25 resistance.

Bearish Situation

Draw back dangers for this DOT worth prediction middle across the $1.45 Bollinger Band assist degree. A breakdown beneath this technical ground may set off stop-loss promoting towards $1.35-$1.40.

Extra extreme bearish eventualities may see DOT testing psychological assist at $1.25-$1.30, although such strikes would possible require broader crypto market weak point or Polkadot-specific damaging catalysts.

The important thing threat issue stays the general market construction, with DOT buying and selling beneath all main shifting averages indicating the long-term pattern stays bearish regardless of short-term oversold circumstances.

Ought to You Purchase DOT? Entry Technique

For merchants contemplating DOT positions, the present oversold circumstances current a possible alternative with outlined threat parameters. The optimum entry zone spans $1.50-$1.53, close to present worth ranges.

Conservative patrons would possibly anticipate preliminary bounce affirmation above $1.56-$1.58 earlier than establishing positions, accepting barely increased entry costs for lowered threat of additional draw back.

Cease-loss ranges needs to be positioned beneath the Bollinger Band assist at $1.43-$1.44, representing roughly 6-7% draw back threat from present ranges. This supplies cheap threat administration whereas permitting room for regular worth fluctuation.

Place sizing ought to account for DOT’s elevated volatility, with the 14-day ATR at $0.11 indicating important day by day worth swings stay attainable.

Conclusion

This DOT worth prediction suggests a reasonable chance of bounce towards $1.75-$2.10 over the following 4-6 weeks, supported by excessive oversold RSI readings and proximity to Bollinger Band assist. The Polkadot forecast stays cautiously optimistic within the brief time period, although longer-term bullish affirmation requires reclaiming the $1.86-$1.90 resistance zone.

Merchants ought to monitor the $1.45 assist degree intently, as any breakdown may invalidate the bounce thesis and set off additional promoting strain.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency worth predictions are speculative and topic to excessive volatility. This evaluation doesn’t represent monetary recommendation, and traders ought to conduct their very own analysis earlier than making buying and selling choices.

Picture supply: Shutterstock




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