After a run-up of greater than 160% in the course of the previous three years, Solana‘s (CRYPTO: SOL) worth is close to $270 (as of Jan. 22). However, there is a stable set of arguments for why it might probably go a lot larger — maybe even as excessive as $500 or extra, and maybe as quickly as earlier than the tip of the 12 months.
So with out additional ado, listed below are the three most essential causes it’d greater than double in the close to time period.
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1. The federal government might begin shopping for it
It is no secret that the brand new Trump administration is unabashedly in favor of loosening restrictions on the cryptocurrency business. Past that, there’s ongoing dialogue concerning making a nationwide cryptocurrency reserve.
Cryptocurrencies developed in the U.S., like Solana, have been floated as being included in that reserve, whether it is ever is established. Proper now, Solana’s market cap is nearly $130 billion. For a rustic the dimensions of the U.S. to have a stockpile of some kind of any considerable measurement, it is arduous to think about it holding lower than $1 trillion in the currencies it targets. And for Solana, that might imply numerous recent shopping for stress, driving up costs.
Extra importantly, holding Solana in a nationwide reserve could be an enormous ratification of its worth as an asset. Traders would believe that the most important of the cryptocurrency whales — that means the world’s richest authorities — could be shepherding the worth of their funding. That might possible hold costs anchored to the next ground than earlier than.
2. It is displaying relative power in opposition to a key competitor throughout a number of dimensions
Solana’s main cryptocurrency competitor is Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH , an older and considerably bigger blockchain that pioneered lots of the basic options that Solana implements.
However Solana has lengthy been thought of as an Ethereum killer thanks to its low gas fees (consumer charges), quick transaction occasions, and its excessive ease of use for non-cryptocurrency natives. From the standpoint of the everyday investor, there’s little in phrases of decentralized finance (DeFi) or manipulating non-fungible tokens (NFTs) that may be accomplished on Ethereum that may’t be accomplished quicker and cheaper on Solana.
Check out this chart:
Solana Price knowledge by YCharts
Solana appears to be eating Ethereum’s lunch. As extra traders tire of ready for Ethereum to carry out, they will possible defect to Solana, and that can enhance demand for the coin.
3. It is the highest blockchain for investing in memes
Though the knowledge of investing closely in meme cash is questionable, it is a incontrovertible fact that the overwhelming majority of the biggest meme coins by market cap are hosted on the Solana blockchain. It is also true {that a} very giant majority of all meme cash in existence, in addition to many of the ones being made every day, are on Solana.
Meme cash as an asset class usually are not going away. They’re enjoyable, and so they enchantment to traders who really feel like they do not have an edge in the standard monetary markets due to the large quantity of knowledge that effectively competing in these markets requires on common. And whereas it is inadvisable to strive investing in these property to get wealthy rapidly, the tales of comparatively humble traders claiming to strike it wealthy by way of meme cash are positive to appeal to others to make investments in the chain.
Moreover, earlier than traders can purchase many meme cash, they will want to purchase Solana first to make their purchases.
It is unclear exactly how a lot shopping for stress that can create over the long run. Nonetheless, meme cash additionally serve to lock down a number of the circulating Solana into locations the place it will not go away the ecosystem. In any case, no one desires to promote at a loss, so after intervals of speculative mania, many traders will merely go away their Solana locked up in their underwater meme coin positions reasonably than liquidating it.
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Alex Carchidi has positions in Ethereum and Solana. The Motley Idiot has positions in and recommends Ethereum and Solana. The Motley Idiot has a disclosure policy.