SUI Price Analysis: Traders Watch a Possible Fakeout-and-Bounce Setup

SUI has quietly drifted into some of the essential areas on its chart in months. After a lengthy downtrend and a deep pullback from its all-time excessive, the SUI value is now sitting proper on prime of a stage that patrons have constantly defended. 

Traders are beginning to pay nearer consideration, with some together with Grasp of Crypto, pointing to the $1.51 space as a potential turning level. Whether or not SUI holds right here or slips decrease might set the tone for what comes subsequent.

Regardless that the broader market nonetheless feels unsure, the SUI value motion is starting to look extra managed than it has in weeks. Volatility has tightened, and promoting strain has eased, and a number of other technical indicators point out the market could also be preparing for a decisive transfer.

SUI continues to defend the $1.51 assist zone

The $1.51–$1.53 vary has turn out to be probably the most important space on the SUI chart. On the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes, value has examined this zone a number of instances and bounced every time, exhibiting that patrons are actively stepping in. 

This stage additionally traces up with earlier consolidation zones and a clear demand space seen on larger timeframes. 

$SUI is holding on the key assist stage round 1.5129.

If it makes another small dip after which recovers, the following transfer might push it towards 1.78.

I’m looking ahead to that fakeout-and-bounce setup. pic.twitter.com/oA2shANqSs

— Grasp of Crypto (@MasterCryptoHq) December 11, 2025

Grasp of Crypto highlighted this area as a basic fakeout-and-bounce setup. The thought is that the SUI value might briefly dip beneath assist to shake out late sellers earlier than rapidly reversing larger. 

This type of transfer is widespread throughout corrective phases, particularly when market sentiment is already cautious. What’s notable right here is the shortage of aggressive promoting beneath assist. Every dip has been adopted by a fast restoration, which signifies sellers are dropping power and confidence.

SUI market cap stability signifies promoting strain is fading

Glassnode’s market cap knowledge helps clarify what’s occurring beneath the floor. After falling sharply earlier within the cycle, the SUI market cap has began to stabilize within the $5.9B–$6.1B vary. 

Whereas that’s nonetheless properly beneath earlier highs, the truth that it’s not sliding decrease, is a vital change.

Market cap typically shifts earlier than the value does. When it stops making decrease lows, it often means massive holders are not distributing aggressively. As an alternative, tokens start altering arms at extra secure ranges, which might sign early accumulation.

In SUI’s case, this stabilization traces up intently with the SUI value holding assist, strengthening the concept that draw back momentum could also be working out.

SUI drawdown from ATH stays deep however not increasing

The SUI value remains to be buying and selling roughly 69%–71% beneath its all-time excessive, in keeping with Glassnode’s drawdown knowledge. That’s a steep drop, however what issues now’s that the drawdown has stopped getting worse. Over current classes, it has remained comparatively flat.

Traditionally, when drawdowns cease increasing, belongings typically transfer from a capitulation section into a basing section. That doesn’t assure an instantaneous rally, but it surely does scale back the probability of a sudden breakdown until the broader market takes a sharp flip decrease.

For SUI, this means that a lot of the heavy promoting might already be behind it, leaving the value extra delicate to technical triggers fairly than fear-driven exits.

SUI short-term value motion reveals tight compression

On the 1-hour chart, the SUI value has settled into a tight vary, buying and selling roughly between $1.53 and $1.62. After a sharp transfer decrease, this type of compression typically comes earlier than a bigger enlargement.

The SUI chart reveals decrease highs forming, however these highs are beginning to flatten as a substitute of accelerating downward. That’s a refined signal that sellers are dropping management. On the identical time, patrons hold stepping in close to assist, conserving the general construction intact.

If the SUI value does make another push beneath $1.51, it might match the fakeout state of affairs talked about earlier. The important thing can be a quick restoration again above assist, fairly than sustained buying and selling beneath it.

SUI faces resistance as RSI begins to stabilize

Trying on the 4-hour and each day charts, it’s clear that the SUI value nonetheless has work to do overhead. The $1.70–$1.80 zone has rejected value a number of instances, and the broader descending trendline from earlier highs stays unbroken.

4-Hour SUI value chart evaluation.

Meaning any bounce from assist is more likely to run into promoting strain as the value approaches the $1.78 space, which traces up with Grasp of Crypto’s upside goal. This area additionally overlaps with prior breakdown ranges and transferring common resistance.

Reaching that zone would already mark a significant restoration. Breaking above it might require stronger quantity and clear affirmation throughout larger timeframes.

Momentum indicators are quietly enhancing. On the each day chart, RSI has climbed again towards the center vary after spending a very long time close to oversold ranges. Whereas it’s not signaling robust bullish momentum but, it’s not exhibiting aggressive bearish strain both.

Every day SUI value chart evaluation.

On decrease timeframes, RSI has shaped larger lows whereas the SUI value continues to carry assist. This kind of divergence typically hints that promoting strain is weakening, even when patrons haven’t totally taken management but.

These small momentum shifts typically seem earlier than bigger development modifications, particularly throughout prolonged consolidation durations.

What comes subsequent for SUI?

Proper now, all the things relies on how the SUI value behaves across the $1.51 stage. If value dips briefly beneath assist after which rapidly reclaims it, the fakeout-and-bounce setup turns into far more convincing. 

In that case, a transfer towards $1.70–$1.78 can be a cheap subsequent goal, with resistance anticipated alongside the best way. CoinCodex’s SUI price prediction factors towards $1.23 over the following month, but it surely all comes right down to what occurs at $1.51. 

If assist breaks cleanly, although, the construction would weaken and SUI might revisit decrease demand zones earlier than any actual restoration takes form. That state of affairs would doubtless want broader market weak spot to play out.

For now, endurance is vital. SUI is not in free fall, but it surely hasn’t confirmed a development reversal both. The present consolidation signifies the market is ready for a catalyst, whether or not that’s a liquidity sweep, a broader market transfer, or renewed curiosity from bigger gamers.

So long as the SUI value holds above key assist, the potential of a aid transfer stays alive. Traders are watching intently, realizing that setups like this typically outline the following a number of weeks of value motion.