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Bitcoin July Relief Rally Becomes Traders’ “Base Case” As $60K Returns

cryptonews100_tggfrn by cryptonews100_tggfrn
July 1, 2026
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Bitcoin July Relief Rally Becomes Traders’ “Base Case” As $60K Returns
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Bitcoin (BTC) rallied to $60,000 at Wednesday’s Wall Avenue open as shares moved increased and US greenback power fell.

Key factors:

  • Bitcoin catches an early tailwind firstly of July’s first US buying and selling session, rising with shares.
  • US greenback power cools as evaluation sees an more and more “crowded” USD lengthy commerce.
  • Bitcoin merchants keep religion that July will kind a relief-bounce month-to-month candle.

BTC value eyes 3%+ day by day good points

Information from TradingView confirmed BTC/USD spiking to $60,475 on Bitstamp, taking day by day good points to just about 3%.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Supply: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The brand new month-to-month candle had began with a bump and a visit to new multiyear lows for the pair, and 24-hour crypto lengthy liquidations totaled greater than $200 million on the time of writing, per knowledge from CoinGlass.

BTC/USD vs. cryptocurrency liquidations (screenshot). Supply: CoinGlass

“$BTC displaying a stunning pump this NY session,” dealer Lennaert Snyder wrote in a response on X.

Snyder anticipated a low-time body reversal to kick in, with an accompanying chart displaying “exhaustion” to hit earlier than value reached $60,700.

BTC/USDT one-hour chart. Supply: Lennaert Snyder/X

Fellow dealer Daan Crypto Trades noticed a possible breakout on the playing cards ought to value assault both finish of its low-time-frame vary.

“Let’s see if this turns this $58K-$61K space into a spread in the interim,” he told X followers on the day. 

“I feel there’s probability that the subsequent try on the vary excessive or low will trigger a decisive break and greater transfer.”

BTC/USDT perpetual contract one-hour chart. Supply: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Bitcoin appeared to profit from a drop in US greenback power, with the US greenback index (DXY) reversing from native highs of 101.6 on the open.

US greenback index (DXY) one-week chart. Supply: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Inventory markets trended increased after some preliminary volatility, partially fueled by Meta inventory, which added over 11% within the first hour.

Commenting on DXY, buying and selling useful resource The Kobeissi Letter warned {that a} broader greenback development change might come “quickly.”

“The lengthy US Greenback commerce is crowded: Speculative lengthy positioning within the US Greenback surged to +$34.3 billion as of June twenty third, the very best in 18 months,” it reported on X.

US greenback lengthy place knowledge. Supply: The Kobeissi Letter/X

Bitcoin July reduction rally turns into “base case”

Different market individuals continued to name for a BTC value reduction rally via July.

Associated: Bitcoin just $5K away from ‘best investment opportunity’ of bear market

“Bitcoin Month-to-month shut under its long-term trendline,” dealer Titan noted alongside the one-month BTC/USD chart. 

“My base case: a reduction rally in July earlier than the downtrend resumes.”

BTC/USD one-month chart. Supply: Titan/X

Dealer and analyst Rekt Capital reiterated his perception that July would provide the alternative of June’s draw back earlier than a return to bearish moves in August.

“Pink June. Inexperienced July. Pink August. That is what Bitcoin value historical past suggests,” he summarized on the day. 

“Bitcoin might probably see some draw back wicking under the brand new Month-to-month Open in early July. However historical past suggests value ought to give you the chance increase to the upside because the month progresses.”



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